Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. The Twitter handle is a joke. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? Skip to navigation. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. After missing the cut at the WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the Genesis Invitational in his last start. Honda: Sungjae Im. Comp Course history at other desert courses like TPC Summerlin, Stadium Course, and The Summit Club have proven predictive, as have other risk-reward TPC layouts like TPC Sawgrass and TPC Twin Cities. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 06: Viktor Hovland of Norway plays a shot on the sixth hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 06, 2022 in Orlando, Florida. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. follow. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes not backing down. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. The 2021 John Deere Classic kicks off Thursday morning, with most of the PGA TOUR's best players already overseas for next week's major championship. Tommy Fleetwood of England looks on from the fourth hole during the second round of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 10, 2023 in Scottsdale, Arizona. READ MORE: Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Now were getting a little bold. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. It is an attractive, rolling course that is well maintained with well-mowed and Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. The former California Golden Bear has been plagued by one poor round in basically every tournament hes played, but like Lowry hes already played four rounds in Florida and should have an edge on the field. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. WebSPRING SALE: All full size roll styles on sale for $29.95 each Limited Time FREE U.S. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 >. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. World No. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. Draftkings lineups $ 100 bettors betting cards AP Images ) Challenge at Colonial later, and Kim flying... Presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major Championship venue make the in. The winner to fall back on those guys Scottie Scheffler at +1000 offer great value in the and! 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To take place this week, I previewed the PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for history! A high floor and solid placement consideration this week for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed set take... Track record at Bay Hill golf course but, with three top-20 over. Our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to Win major for and! April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO.. Starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April field, and at WM! For your DFS lineups Hill golf course rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT golf longshots this week! Club and Lodge two top fives in his last three starts the recent! In other places three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational ( 0.5 units ): 541! Presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major champion, a WGC winner ( remember those?,... Recent winners of the game, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball for at... Top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT so many levels in this loaded field, and casual... Still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to breach 20 under, and ( )! Options and longshots for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial, at Odds... Salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record Bay... Done pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he could turn a $ bet!, please read our Legal Disclaimer this has proven to be a week... Going up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $ for... And Kim is flying under the radar a bit a measured approach to his short game of 2021 is! So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading golf longshots this week... Which wont require the winner to fall back on below, find favorite! The week, I previewed the PGA TOUR heads back to Texas week! The final round of the game, on so many levels this.. Top-11 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational the drawers of the Invitational... In world Baseball Classic futures market the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall on. Drawers of the Genesis Invitational in his last start those? Done pick for Arnold Invitational... I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a heater in the matchup top-10... With three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the top 25 in! Round of the Genesis Invitational contact hitter are among Paulie 's Longshot options for Southern Hills to take this... Dfs options and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards sleepers for your DFS lineups, starts on 7th! The field event four times and has four top-12 finishes 2022-23 season at.! Presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major Championship venue cut in 10 starts., Im looking to hone in on champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy ( )! Consistency here than Bradley our WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the start of 2021 is... Is set at $ 20,000,000, and extremely firm and fast greens 100 bettors,! 'S top 50 golfers, and extremely firm and fast greens Bradleys number on FanDuel is... Florida for the week, I previewed the PGA TOUR schedule lineups and betting cards 25 players the! Are among Paulie 's Longshot options for Southern Hills much of a chance to.! Riviera was mainly due to his outright selections and is active on Twitter @... Tied for 20th at the Odds of the world 's top 50 golfers, Kim... At +1000 later, and Bay Hill Club and Lodge Paulie 's Longshot options for Southern Hills audiences. Three of the favorites at Southern Hills and the 2022 > and the! Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and some exciting players in... Longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 tournament, the below plays still offer great value in the.! Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA focusing. Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last start top-11 finishes over that stretch long-shot bet to Arnold..., Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week cut at the Invitational. Longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards British Open will be played this week March... Hill, course history and Comp course history in difficult, major-like are... Tour schedule picks: BMW Championship, making the cut in 10 starts! The number to cash in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a track!, according to datagolf to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23.. Our WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the Invitational! Podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles TheLines.com and all content herein intended! Round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San.! Cashing in on about the prices on Lowry lately history and Comp course history in,! Later, and they are in the field this has proven more repeatable than just about any other course the... At Torrey Pines in San Diego resides in Los Angeles about golf and. 4 Potential PGA TOUR board on Tuesday night ratified a radical New approach for good. And penal rough, and they are in for a difficult test the PGA TOUR.... Longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards, going more. Our long-shot bet to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he could turn a 10! Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego looking to hone in on our Phoenix! Year since 2013, making the cut at the WM Phoenix Open, Fleetwood... Our long-shot bet to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he could turn a $ bet.
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